Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.001254 0.001298 0.001342 0.001391 0.001442 0.001496 0.001557
2025-08-10 0.001178 0.001242 0.001309 0.001385 0.001470 0.001562 0.001670
2025-08-17 0.001115 0.001192 0.001275 0.001372 0.001484 0.001609 0.001763
2025-08-24 0.001063 0.001149 0.001244 0.001357 0.001491 0.001647 0.001843
2025-08-31 0.001041 0.001137 0.001245 0.001377 0.001538 0.001729 0.001981
2025-09-07 0.001014 0.001116 0.001234 0.001381 0.001564 0.001788 0.002092
2025-09-14 0.000981 0.001088 0.001212 0.001369 0.001568 0.001817 0.002167
2025-09-21 0.000950 0.001059 0.001188 0.001352 0.001564 0.001835 0.002226
2025-09-28 0.000926 0.001037 0.001170 0.001343 0.001568 0.001862 0.002298
2025-10-05 0.000888 0.000998 0.001130 0.001302 0.001530 0.001830 0.002282
2025-10-12 0.000868 0.000980 0.001114 0.001293 0.001531 0.001851 0.002344
2025-10-19 0.000854 0.000968 0.001107 0.001293 0.001545 0.001891 0.002437
2025-10-26 0.000836 0.000951 0.001093 0.001284 0.001546 0.001912 0.002505
2025-11-02 0.000826 0.000944 0.001091 0.001292 0.001571 0.001969 0.002635
2025-11-09 0.000811 0.000930 0.001080 0.001286 0.001576 0.001998 0.002721
2025-11-16 0.000794 0.000914 0.001065 0.001275 0.001573 0.002014 0.002786
2025-11-23 0.000791 0.000915 0.001072 0.001293 0.001614 0.002098 0.002982
2025-11-30 0.000782 0.000908 0.001069 0.001297 0.001634 0.002151 0.003126
2025-12-07 0.000768 0.000894 0.001055 0.001287 0.001630 0.002166 0.003200
2025-12-14 0.000753 0.000878 0.001039 0.001272 0.001620 0.002168 0.003248
2025-12-21 0.000741 0.000866 0.001028 0.001263 0.001618 0.002185 0.003328
2025-12-28 0.000719 0.000841 0.000998 0.001227 0.001573 0.002126 0.003243
2026-01-04 0.000708 0.000830 0.000988 0.001218 0.001569 0.002139 0.003312